Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Week 7 Upset Alert

The week following the first Monster Week of the 2012 season seems to lack any big time upset candidates.  Even without many of the top rated teams getting pushed this Saturday, I can guarantee that it will be another great day of watching college football.

Fresno State @ Boise State Saturday 3:30pm
This pick is for a few reasons.  The first is because I think Boise State is over-rated, even at number 24. I have watched a parts of a couple different games, and it is clear the Broncos lost most of their experienced talent from last year's team.  They lack the play makers on both sides of the ball, but will likely make it through the season with only 1 loss.  The second reason is because I am really sick of Michigan State fans claiming their schedule has been the toughest in the nation because they are the only team to play 3 ranked opponents so far.  Never mind that Michigan has played two top 7 teams (Notre Dame eve has an outside shot at getting to the BCS Championship game against Alabama), and also the Spartans have played all three of these teams at home, whereas Michigan will play a total of ZERO ranked teams at home this season. So, normally I root for the Peterson led smurf-turfers, but I can't this year.  Go Dogs.

Oregon State @ BYU Saturday 3:30pm
Well, like Desmond Howard, I am not buying into the Beavers just yet.  I don't think they are very good.  I know all of this hype will go away soon enough, when OSU gets to take on the Ducks.  Their big time quarterback Mannion, who Wisconsin all but shut down, is out after knee surgery earlier this week.  I know BYU does not have one of their best teams this season, but I think the Cougars can push Oregon State at home and make this game closer than most expect.

Tennessee @ Mississippi State Saturday 9:00pm
The Bulldogs might be the most overlooked team in the SEC this season, which is hard to do when ESPN likes using their College Football segments to solely talk about the conference.  On paper, the Vols have their work cut out for them this week.  I just have a feeling that Tyler Bray is able to get some confidence to start the game and keep the score close for most of this game.

The standard pick this week are Stanford over Notre Dame, Washington at home to push USC, and Vanderbilt to give Florida problems in Nashville as the Gators are likely looking to next week's showdown with South Carolina.  I would love to see all of these teams lose this week, but I still don't know how good Stanford is especially on the road.  USC will likely continue on a Rose Bowl mission and not lose focus for the rest of the season.  Finally, the Commodores are just not very good and even if Florida starts slow, they are good enough to steam roll Vanderbilt.

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