Tuesday, January 29, 2013

B1G Update


The conference’s top teams are now entering their toughest stretch of the season.  The conference standings in two weeks could be the soonest we find out the most accurate representation of the final outcome.  Minnesota continued their slide downward, but the Gophers are so talented they have to rise back up again, right?  Michigan State had the best week of any B1G team, and the Spartans are actually looking like a title contender.

1.       Michigan (no change)
Michigan handled a scrappy Purdue team at home and went to Illinois to win an up and down contest.  The Wolverines are once again ranked number 1 in the country, but the latest bump in the standings came with a significant loss.  Jordan Morgan suffered an ankle sprain, and it is unknown how long he will be out.  If I would have to guess, I would think the starting center might be ready for Ohio State next Tuesday.  That could be optimistic at this point.  The gift for Michigan finally getting back to number 1 is a rematch with Northwestern and a trip to Bloomington.  Will Michigan separate themselves or leave the top of the conference a muddy mess.

2.       Indiana (no change)
Indiana got healthy again last week with a trouncing of B1G punching bag, Penn State.  Then the Hoosiers welcomed Michigan State to Assembly Hall and scrapped out a hard fought 5 point win.  It wasn’t the cleanest played game, as both Indiana and Michigan State struggle with turnovers.  The game did have a number of momentum changing plays throughout, and was pretty entertaining.  After the game, however, I think we found out more about the Spartans abilities than Indiana’s home court dominance.

3.       Michigan State (up 2)
The Spartans traveled to the Kohl Center and beat Wisconsin in the ugliest B1G game of the year.  I thought the Ohio State/ Michigan State game would have a chance, but the Spartans really outdid themselves in this one. But then they bounce back with one of the more entertaining conference games of the year, at Indiana. As much as I don’t want to say this, Michigan State is a legitimate B1G title contender.

4.       Ohio State (no change)
The Buckeyes held serve last week with wins against Iowa and Penn State. Ohio State is still looking for a secondary offensive option, but at this point in the season it looks unlikely.  It is another winnable week for Thad Matta’s crew with games against Wisconsin and Nebraska.   

5.       Wisconsin (up 1)
The Badgers were riding high after their big win at Indiana, but they lost to Iowa and Michigan State in back to back games.  This is a statement week for Bo Ryan’s team with road games against Ohio State and Illinois.  Going 2-0 this week will really impact the regular season championship.   

6.       Minnesota (down 3)
Minnesota continued its head scratching slide.  The Gophers have now lost 4 games in a row, adding Northwestern and Wisconsin to the mix.  For some reason one of the conference’s best offenses can barely score 50 points right now.  This team is too talented to finish under the top 4 of the conference.  They need to bounce back with wins against Nebraska and Iowa.

7.       Purdue (up 1)
Somehow Purdue continues to claw its way up the conference standings.  They hung tough with Michigan on the road and then beat Iowa over the weekend.  The Boilermakers will not make the tournament this week, but they are learning how to play together and win together.  If Purdue can get to 9 wins in the conference this year, Matt Painter should be considered for the coach of the year.

8.       Iowa (down 1)
Iowa was my dark horse choice in the Big Ten this season, but I can no longer continue to think they are an NCAA tournament team.  The Hawkeyes might have just lost a back breaker to Purdue over the weekend, and now will have to pull off one more major upset to even get the selection committee to notice them come March.  The Hawkeyes are definitely inexperienced and will need to continue learning how to win, but I still expect them to impact the conference race by upsetting a top team at some point.

9.       Illinois (no change)
Illinois got a blowout win over Nebraska but then struggled against Michigan at home.  Illinois continues to slide down the brackets, and will need a big win soon to stay on a tournament line.  This week the Illini have to travel to the Breslin to face Michigan State and then they play Wisconsin at home.  I think Illinois will have to at least one game this week to keep any hope of an at large NCAA tournament bid alive.

10.   Northwestern (no change)
The Wildcats continue to fight hard, but they are inconsistent.  They beat Minnesota on Wednesday and then lost at Nebraska by 15.  This conference is extremely tough, especially when you are missing your top talent.  The road doesn’t get any easier this week with a road trip to Crisler and a home game against the Boilermakers.

11.   Nebraska (no change)
Nebraska beat Northwestern at home, but I kept the Huskers in the number 11 spot because of the Wildcats win over Minnesota.  Nebraska is still playing hard and teams cannot have an off night when they travel to Lincoln.

12.   Penn State (no change)
The gap between Penn State and Nebraska continues to grow.    

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