Thursday, December 20, 2012

B1G Preview: Over-achievers


Next on the hot seat are two teams that I thought would have been switched with Wisconsin and Michigan State in the bubble teams.  Instead they have combined for only one loss, and it came against the number 1 team in the country.  These two squads have been a good surprise for the conference, and already seem to be playing near their ceiling.

5. Illinois
You might ask how a top 10 team can be ranked number 5 in the conference power rankings, and I might have a few answers to that question.  First, I think Illinois a bit over-rated right now.  Secondly, USC has played both Illinois and Minnesota and has stated matter-of-factly that the Golden Gophers were the best team the Trojans have played.  Thirdly, this is my blog.  Anyways, the Illini get a chance to jump a spot in the rankings this weekend when they face Missouri.  Illinois was the Cinderella winner in the Maui Invitational over Thanksgiving weekend, and from that this team has ridden the confidence to an undefeated start.  They are playing hard for the new coach, and Brandon Paul is making a push for the National Player of the Year.  If Illinois is shooting the ball well, they will be a very tough team to beat.  However, as most teams find out, scoring on the road in the B1G is a completely new feat by itself.  I question the Illini depth, and think it could be a major weakness in the loaded conference.  They are also extremely perimeter oriented which gives room for the top teams to exploit.  I am not completely bought into Illinois yet, but they will have plenty of chances to prove me wrong.

4. Minnesota
This Gopher team might be Tubby Smith’s deepest squad he has coached in Minneapolis.  They are also led by a very balanced scoring attack.  The Hollins’ guys are playing like all conference guards right now.  So far the story here is Trevor Mbakwe is only playing 18 minutes per game, once he gets completely healthy and back in game shape the Gophers can expect some improvement from the post.  Minnesota is also one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the country, and if it can carry over into conference play, it will be the Gopher’s biggest strength.  The Barn is also extremely tough to play at, so Minnesota should be able to hold their own at home.

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