Thursday, December 20, 2012

B1G Preview: On the bubble


The next group are teams that should find themselves on the bubble come March.  If the season would end today, I think 2 of the 3 teams have a good enough resume to get into the field of 68.  I think the majority of the conference upsets will come from this group. 

8. Wisconsin
The Badgers have been a main-stay in the top 5 of the B1G and participant in the NCAA tournament.  Wisconsin has yet to notch a signature win, but with the entire B1G slate still in front of them, the Badgers will have a lot of time to build the resume.  Being in the nation’s toughest conference can really help a team like Wisconsin, it could also give them 10 more losses and knock them out of the tournament.  The Badgers have played 4 solid teams so far, but have lost each game, but the rest of the schedule has consisted of push-overs and blow-out wins. Bo Ryan’s crawl pace and unique offensive style will still continue to give every team problems this season.  Also, the Kohl Center is one of the toughest places to play in the country. 

7. Iowa
The Hawkeyes have been people’s sleeper team for 2 years now.  Fran Dumphrey has accumulated some nice offensive weapons in Iowa City, and they seem to be in a similar place that early John Beilein coached Michigan teams were.  The problem for Iowa is that the top of the conference just keeps getting better, so I have a feeling by the end of the year the Hawkeyes will be on the outside looking in of the NCAA tournament.  Iowa runs a very unique offensive scheme with some unassuming players, but they continue to lack defensive drive and ability.  This will likely result in some big wins at home, but a good defense really puts teams over the top with the brutal road schedule in the B1G.  You cannot expect to score 80 points every night in the conference, and have to be able to win games in the 50s.

6. Michigan State
The Spartans are loaded with talent, like always, but there is little to really like about this Izzo-coached team.  Yes they are still ranked and have only lost 2 games, but they have not been impressive yet this season.  It seems like Michigan State has been having some chemistry issues and have struggled to find a consistent line-up.  If they find a way to put things together, Michigan State can finish in ranked in the top 10 and be a top 4 B1G team.  The worry is that the Spartans really haven’t shown any improvement during the non-conference and the moments where they have clicked have been surrounded by minutes of discouraging play.  The B1G is so talented this year that the Spartans could easily slip to the wrong side of the bubble. 

I think we have a pretty good idea of how good Wisconsin and Iowa will be this season, and the definite question mark in this group is Michigan State.  Either way, it will be difficult to play all of these teams on the road, and I would guess that each team that finishes in the top tier of the conference will find at least one loss from this group.

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