Wednesday, August 28, 2013

B1G Predictions (Legends)


1.       Michigan
Last year picking the Wolverines on top of the Legends Division was definitely an optimistic, homer, choice.  This year when I look at this stacked group Michigan is the most complete team listed, and like two years ago, the schedule is again in their favor.  While the Wolverines do not have the best offense or defense of this bunch, I predict both units to be in the top third of the conference.  Their best defender, Jake Ryan, is slated to come back in October before the schedule gets tough in November, and Devin Gardner just scratched the surface of his potential last season.  The race for the Legends Division crown is going to be a fun one to keep an eye on.  

2.       Michigan State
Ordering the next three teams is close to impossible.  Each of Michigan State, Northwestern, and Nebraska have above average aspects to pair with bottom dwelling groups.  I chose the Spartans to finish 2nd in the division because they boast the conference’s best defense, and on paper it really isn’t close.  The B1G has quite a few teams with above average offenses, but Michigan State has the only truly elite defense.  While the Spartans struggled mightily on offense last year, I really don’t think it can get that much worse.  Also to help matters they will benefit from not having to play themselves, so scoring 21 points should not be too tall of a task against most of the league.  

3.       Northwestern
The Wildcats seem to be the 2013 dark horse.  They are starting with more attention than Purdue last year, but most people think they will finish as the 4th best team in the Legends Division.  While Northwestern might not have the overall talent on offense as other teams (Ohio State, Nebraska, Michigan, Wisconsin, etc) they run a very difficult system to defend.  Kain Coulter is on the short list for preseason offensive player of the year, and he will be helped by Venric Mark and Kyle Prater.  The defense will again be a struggle for the Wildcats, but they are infusing more talent on this side of the ball through recruiting and I think it starts to shine this season.

4.       Nebraska
Most people are choosing the Cornhuskers to win the Legends Division.  I have a hard time putting them above the first three teams though, unless they make a big leap forward on the defensive side of the ball.  The once-named Black-shirt defense couldn’t stop anybody with a pulse last year, and they lost some of their most talented players. Nebraska could replace these players with immediate contributors, but since the Huskers have joined the B1G their recruiting has taken a major hit.  Taylor Martinez will also push for the offensive player of the year, and should lead one of the most prolific offenses again, but if they can allow Wisconsin to hang 70 on them I just cant put them higher on this list.  Nebraska will have a good early season matchup with UCLA, and if their defense can hold up well then the Huskers could become my favorite to win this division.

5.       Minnesota
The preview of Minnesota is a lot like last year.  The Gophers will be improved again, but they happen to play in the tougher division.  This team is going to be better than their record shows, and could even have a major hand in determining who wins the Legends.  However, I think Minnesota will struggle to be bowl eligible.  

6.       Iowa
The Hawkeyes struggled all of last year, and I just don’t see them being much better this year.  Coach Ferentz’s seat could get a little hotter after this season. Iowa was one of the worst offensive teams in the entire conference last season, and I just don’t see any reason to believe that will change in 2013.  

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