Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Michigan High School Basketball Future Prospects


The state of Michigan is looking to become a hotbed of basketball prospects again.  There are a number of solid Division 1 players in the 2013 class, and I have spent quite a bit of time highlighting the top 5 or 6 individuals.  Today I want to look at the talent in the next 3 classes, and give some current projections for how each player’s game will translate to the next level. 

Class of 2014

1.       Edmund Sumner 6’3” Combo guard Detroit Country Day
Sumner reminds me a little bit of a Caris LeVert type basketball player.  He has decent length, and is most dangerous with the ball in his hands.  The problem is that he is rail thin; even smaller than LeVert when he got on campus in Ann Arbor.  Sumner has an average jump shot, and does most of his work in transition and mid-range.  He can finish at the rim better than expected.  In his last summer of high school he needs to put on weight and add as much strength as possible.  If he can do that, Sumner might be the next DCD player in line for Mr. Basketball.  At this point he is receiving some interest from Michigan and Michigan State, but he seems more like a second option if their top priorities choose other schools (Devin Booker for Michigan).

2.       A.J Turner 6’6” Combo guard Warren De La Salle
Turner burst onto the recruiting scene at the beginning of this season, especially after he outplayed Drake Harris in their head to head matchup.  There is a lot to like about Turner’s game.  He was asked to play point guard for his team this year, and his ball handling skills really improved by the end of the season.  Turner does a good job at creating his own shot, and is learning how to set up his teammates.  He is expected to keep growing a few more inches, and could be a very poor man’s Kevin Durant type player.  Turner will need to continue to get stronger, improve his handling, and work on his quickness.  Michigan coaches have been at a few DLS games this year to see Turner in action, but it seems like there are higher priorities for the Wolverines.  I personally question whether Turner’s athleticism would translate into the Big Ten.  I think he could be a dangerous player in a smaller conference like the A10, Conference USA, and would be dominant in the MAC level. 

3.        Justin Tillman 6’7” Power Forward Detroit Pershing
Tillman is the Doughboy’s main inside presence, and he is a pretty good secondary option to Walker and Felder.  He is more athletic than most big men he has played against this year.  For example, Louisiana Tech commit Leo Edwards struggled to keep up with Tillman.  The problem is that top tier Division 1 schools aren’t looking for 6’7” power forwards.  Michigan currently uses GRIII at the 4, but he is basically another wing on the floor and not a true power forward.  Tillman will have to improve his ball handling and shooting dramatically to get a serious look from the Big Ten.  I see Tillman as a very good pickup for an in-state MAC team because he would add decent size and improve the front court’s athleticism. 

4.       Darrell Davis 6’4” Combo Guard Detroit Douglass
Davis is a crafty slashing combo guard that has led Douglass to a very good season.  He is a prototypical Detroit-style player, extremely aggressive and unafraid on both ends of the floor.  But at this point he is far from being a polished basketball player.  If Davis improves his outside shooting and ball handling he could be a sleeper prospect in the state.  Davis has recently garnered some interest from Michigan, and was on campus last weekend.  It is clear the Wolverines are looking for a combo guard type player, and with three spots open they could be looking for 2.  If Booker falls through, it could be a battle between Davis and Sumner as to which one will be offered.  At this point I think Davis will end up somewhere in Division 1, but likely a similar place as the first 3 players. 

Class of 2015
1.       Eric Davis 6’3” Combo Guard Saginaw Arthur Hill
I listed Davis as a combo guard because he is only a sophomore and will probably grow a couple of inches before graduating.  He plays point guard for the Lumberjacks, but gets moved between the 1 and 2 in the AAU circuit.  Davis blew up last summer, and is widely considered one of the top sophomores in the country.  He is extremely skilled and polished for being 15 or 16.  During the basketball season he has focused on being a distributing point guard, but Davis can put on a show if he is asked to score.  He has great range with his jumper and is big enough to finish in the lane.  Like any sophomore, Davis will need to continue to get stronger and add some weight.  The early rankings have Davis as one of the top 15 players and could be in line for 5 stars.  Nearly every school has shown some interest (Michigan, Michigan State, Duke, Kentucky, NC State, etc).  Expect him to get an offer this summer from Coach Beilein.

2.       Trevor Manuel 6’9” Power Forward Lansing Sexton
If Sexton continues their dominance in Class B it will likely be on the shoulders of Manuel.  He is a stretch power forward that has shown some success at knocking down the 12-15 foot jumper.  Manuel might be one of the more athletic bigs you will see in high school, but he has a tendency to get pushed out to the perimeter.  I think Manuel should work on playing with more physicality, aggression, and become a post presence first with the ability to knock down a jump shot.  Currently he is the 2nd best player in the class and will get some major Division 1 interest. With Michigan taking a stretch four in the 2013 class, Manuel could get some look from the coaching staff if he has another good summer. 

3.       Bakari Evelyn 5’11” Point Guard Southfield Christian
Evelyn has dominated Michigan’s smallest class the past two basketball seasons, and will likely continue to over the next two.  He is a skilled scoring guard this year but was the main distributor last season.  He is a smooth ball handler and floor general, but it is little difficult to analyze him against the lack of competition.  It will be interesting to see how he performs in the AAU season and also if he camps at any colleges this summer. Evelyn will need to continue to improve his strength and work on his quickness.  Michigan coaches have been to a couple of Southfield Christian games this year, but if he doesn’t grow a few inches I am not sure if his speed/quickness is at an elite level to fill the impressive point guard line Michigan is currently producing.

Class of 2016
1.       Josh Jackson 6’6” Combo Guard Detroit Consortium
Yes, I know these are just freshmen that I am breaking down now, but Michigan has a pair of impressive guards.  It is looking like these two prospects could be the most recruited combo out of Detroit since Jalen Rose and Chris Webber. Jackson is a do-everything type guard for one of the state’s best team.  While teammate Vincent Hunter (UTEP) fills the stat sheet, Jackson facilitates that.  Watch out for the next three years when he is the number one scoring option.  He currently plays the 1-4 for Consortium, and will likely project to a wing player.  If you are familiar with Michigan recruiting, think Zak Irvin, but possibly with better ball handling ability.  Jackson can score in any number of ways from running the fast break, attacking the hoop off the dribble, set jump shot, or shooting off the dribble.  After the talented 2013 class graduates, Jackson likely becomes the best player in the entire state. He is, or will be, recruited by any team that wants an NBA lottery pick potential type player: everyone.

2.       Cassius Winston 6’0” Point Guard Detroit U of D Jesuit
On top of having a sweet name, Winston is likely to be one of the best point guards to come through Michigan in quite some time.  He was arguably the MVP of the Detroit Catholic League as a freshman.  Winston has everything you look for in a point guard; extremely smart, good ball handler, can make his teammates better, and can create his own shot.  While Jackson will get most of the publicity for the next three years, Winston has the makings of an elite talent as well.  He will need to get stronger as his high school career progresses and improve his outside shot.  I know this is a long ways away, but the 2016 Mr. Basketball race should be the best rivalry since Jason Richardson and LaVell Blanchard in 1999. 

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