Friday, May 18, 2012

Tigers Week 6 Recap (18-20)

Well saying it was a rough week for Tigers fans might be a little of an understatement.  The Tigers had 3 of the worst offenses lined up for 8 games (Oakland, Chicago, and Minnesota) so it seemed like a perfect time to continue the quality start streak.  Instead the quality start streak was broken and now the Tigers are on a non-quality start streak.  These 3 series were going to get Detroit back on track, and would likely let them jump Cleveland in the standings, but instead Detroit still has not won back to back games in over a month. 

Since the things that were encouraging about this 3-5 week are very few, I will start with my concerns first then try to end on a positive note.  The starting pitching had their first bad week of the season, and at this point the offense is not clicking enough to carry the load. There have been 4 non-quality starts in a row against lower quality offenses.  These bad starts have really hurt the bullpen as well.  Yes, everyone knows how bad they have been this season (losing the AL in ERA and WHIP), but it is tough to have to get more innings out of the pen than from the starters for more than a game.  At some point in Porcello and Scherzer’s career the light bulb needs to go off and they need to mature as big league pitchers.  Smyly had his first rough outing of the season, but you cannot be upset about that (unless you are a Phillies fan).  I know quality starts will not happen each night, but I don’t think 3 of 5 is asking too much. 

Everyone knows that the Tigers have one of the worst infield defenses in the AL, but so far this season they have seemed to be playing pretty average in the field (which is a compliment to Raburn, Miggy, and Prince).  So, maybe this season will just be the rollercoaster that the two games against the Twins was.  The team can go 2 weeks with an error every other game, and then for 2 games completely forget how to close their glove or throw the ball.  I still feel like the defense is just below average, but the last two games were really tough to watch.  At this point in the season I feel the most confident about the left side actually.  The Prince and Raburn combination leans toward butcher more often than I like. 

Finally, the hitting is up and down.  Detroit’s team batting average has been respectable this season, but their ability to drive in that clutch run has been lacking.  The top four guys can get on base, but there hasn’t been anyone behind them to knock them in.  The bottom 5 has to start to pick things up.  I know last season was a career year for Jhonny, but I thought Avila was more the .280 hitter from last season than the .220 hitter from his rookie campaign.  Also, just when it felt like the offense was beginning to click a bit, Austin is struck with an abdominal strain.  They list him as day to day, but if this is an injury that sticks with him for a while this offense could go back into hibernation.  Austin has been the best player on the field for Detroit this season, period.  I don’t even think you can argue it (and win).  He is the catalyst in wins and he puts so much pressure on the pitcher if he gets on base in front of Dirks, Miggy, and Biggy.  Come back soon Austin.

Ok, enough ranting, lets jump into something a little positive shall we?  Hmm, well there is not much here.  ESPN talked to Tom Seaver about pitching the other night, and I found the interview very interesting.  He said of the 35+ starts you make in a season, you only have your great stuff in 10 of them.  He said you just don’t have it in 5 or so depending on the pitcher, and the rest you might just have a couple of your pitches working and this is where you go from good to great.  Seaver said it is how you battle in those 20-25 starts with just average stuff that makes the pitcher.  Well, lately I have felt JV has been in that average stuff funk but is still good enough to pick up wins.  That is a good thing though because earlier this season he had his Justincredible stuff against Boston and Tampa and came out 0-1.  On Sunday JV brought his nasty with him to work.  It was his best start in a few weeks, and he again was must watch entertainment.  I am excited what he can do tonight.  Even though Fister got rocked for his first time as a Tiger, yesterday, it is still encouraging having him back in the rotation.  He can be simply dominant at times, and I just love how much he attacks the strike zone.  With Fister and JV pitching in back to back games, it should be able to rest the bullpen most weeks because these guys will get into the 8th more often than they are pulled before the 6th.

Like I mentioned a bit earlier, the top 4 of Jackson, Dirks, Miggy, and Prince are starting to click.  When AJ is getting on base like he has this season (with walks and hits) this offense is scary.  Did you know that AJ is leading the team in OBP?  Dirks has done what most of us expected Brennan to do, crush the fast balls pitchers have to throw him with Miggy and Biggy waiting behind him.  Andy is having the Boesch season of last, and is cementing his place in this roster.  Miggy and Prince both have had career long slumps at different points this season, but it has been impressive to see both of them fight through it.  They are the first ones at the ballpark taking bp, and it has paid off.  Miguel has taken more bad swings and has had some bad at bats this year, but he is still the best hitter in baseball and will again bat close to .330.  And the thing that I love most about the big fella is that he makes people around him better.  Last year VMart almost had a career year in terms of average and OBP batting behind Miggy Poco.  This year Prince is still batting close to .300 and is batting .400+ after Miggy gets on base.  If Cabrera heats up like the temperature, these two meat wagons can be very tough outs.

Overall, I never thought this team would flirt with .500, and I especially didn’t see them being 2 games under this late in the year.  I don’t know when the appropriate time is to stop using the cliché line of “It is still early, and baseball is a marathon” but I think it is close.  This team has to be more than a .500 team.  Looking forward, Detroit gets a visit from Pittsburgh starting tonight and then heads to Cleveland for the first meeting with the Indians.  By the time of the Week 7 Recap, Detroit could be in first place or by over 5 games back and in 3rd place.  I have a hard time thinking this much talent will allow that to happen, but I am still a bit worried.  Instead of saying the Tigers should go 4-2 this week, like I have been this whole season (and then feeling angry when they go 3-3 or worse) I am just going to sit back and try to enjoy this week’s game. 

Anyways, happy Verlander day, I hope we can enjoy it with an adult beverage taking in this great weather and a much needed win. 

Verlander & Schlereth of the Series (Twins)

After another 2 gamer, the Tigers continue to frustrate anyone with any interest in this team.  Somehow they found a way to lose both games to the worst team in baseball.  One ugly stat was that going into the series, the Twins were the worst team in both hitting and pitching in the AL and they had the worst record in all of baseball.  Well 2 wins later they scored the most runs of any game this season and recorded a quality start, and they still have the worst record. Their 11 run outburst on Wednesday night accounted for about 10% of their offensive output of the season.   Someone pinch me, I have to be dreaming.

Verlander of the Series, well this award is interesting here.  Can I really give it to nobody? Well it is my blog, so I can do what I want.  As tempting as it is to just go with Rod Allen on this one for his first “Joe Mauer?” of the season, I guess I will just pick Andy Dirks.  He continued his hot streak batting in the 2 hole.  He got on base twice in both games and is still batting .400 in this new lineup.  I like Andy “The Neck” Dirks.

Schlereth of the Series, hmm, well this one might be the hardest award to pass out this season thus far.  Fister has his worst start as a Tiger, Porcello is falling into the Scherzer rut, and the bullpen continues to serve up beach balls.  But, I will go with the infield defense on this one.  6 errors in two games is brutal.  I don’t think it can get much worse actually.  Fielder continues to look like a TRex on first, and Miggy is still re-learning the hot corner.  Ryan “Sieve” Raburn continues living up to his hype, and JaHonny thought he would try to fit in with the rest of the rat crap pack. 

Looking ahead, the Tigers continue their weak May schedule with a visit from the Pittsburgh Pirates.  With the way the season is going so far, I would not be surprised if the anemic offense that is Pittsburgh suddenly plays like Hall of Famers for the weekend and puts up 30 runs.  JV is on the mound tonight, so that cant happen, right… right?  Detroit should sweep Pittsburgh, but the way the Tigers are playing just winning two will be tough. 

Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Verlander & Schlereth of the Series (White Sox)

This was a quick 2 game series, so the awards will basically go to the bum from losing game 1 and the hero from winning game 2.  I was listening to the game on the radio yesterday and thought Scherzer had wrapped up the Schlereth, but luckily for him the bats picked him up. 

Verlander of the Series: Prince Fielder.  Biggy just jumped from worst to first in 2 games, and it continues the streak of people competing for the Schlereth of one series and turning it around to win the Verlander the next.  All Biggy did was go 6-9 with 3 doubles in two games against the Sox.  The Tigers offense started to pick things up a bit in the Windy City, and you don’t have to look past the top 4 in the batting order.  Prince continued hitting near .400 following a Miggy hit, which is a stat that will be fun to watch through the summer, especially with Miggy going 14 for his last 28.  Prince’s home run totals have still been down to start the season, but I think he will have a big weekend in Comerica. 

Schlereth of the Series:  this is a tough one because Max is just so inconsistent.  You can tell within his first few batters if he has his good stuff or not.   Yesterday was not his best start.  Hopefully he can turn things around against the worst offense in the NL on Sunday. But I think this series belongs to Luke Putkonen.  Leyland went to the youngster to hold onto a 5-4 lead on Monday night, and he couldn’t do it.  One encouraging aspect was all of the hits were grounders that found a hole, but it still frustrating to see the bullpen continually come in and give up as many runs as the starters (in half of the time).

Looking forward the Tigers have a great chance to win back to back games for the first time in a month.  They have a great chance of going on a little winning streak here to be over .500 at the all important 40 game mark.  Except the way this season has been going, it seems like a good time for the Twins to come in and win 10-1 somehow.  Detroit should be able to go 4-1 in their homestand, and probably catch Cleveland by the time they have to face the Tribe for the first time this season.

Monday, May 14, 2012

Power Rankings #2

 This is my 2nd installment of my MLB Power Rankings.  There are some surprise teams in the top 5, and some disappointments outside of the top 10. 

1.       Texas Rangers (23-12) have been nearly unbeatable this season, and they are as close to a perfect team as there is in the big leagues right now.  Josh Hamilton is on pace to hit about 1,000 home runs, and the lineup has been efficient enough to have runners on base when Hamilton is batting.  The AL West is terrible right now too, so Texas should just keep racking up wins.  The Rangers are trending UP.

2.       Los Angeles Dodgers (23-11) just keep winning.  It will be interesting to see how they do in interleague play because after Kershaw the starting rotation is pretty weak.  But with the injuries in the NL West, the Dodgers shouldn’t have a problem to keep their lead.  The Dodgers are trending NEUTRAL.

3.       Atlanta Braves (22-13) score a lot of runs.  This was a struggle to put the Braves this high after they looked inept last week when I watched them at Wrigley.  It would be exciting to see Atlanta keep the NL East lead throughout Chipper’s last season. The Braves are trending UP.

4.       Baltimore Orioles (22-13) are the biggest surprise of the season so far.  I don’t think they are as good as their record shows, but at this point I can only rank teams based on what they have already done and not potential.  They bounced right back against the Rays after getting bombed by the Rangers.  The Orioles are trending UP.

5.       Washington Nationals (21-13) still lead the majors in ERA.  It seems like every game they are pulling out a 2-1 win.  The interesting story here is how do you justify shutting down Strasburg after 160 IP if you are still in the playoff hunt? Injuries are piling up for the Nats, so at some point they are going to fade, right? The Nationals are trending NEUTRAL.

6.       Tampa Bay Rays (21-14) are my favorite team in the AL East, but they are still looking up to the O’s.  Every team in the AL are beginning to show extreme faults (except Texas).  Tampa just cannot score runs consistently enough to continue this winning percentage.  The Rays are trending DOWN.

7.       St. Louis Cardinals (20-14) are doing what they should against inferior competition in the NL Central.  It helps that Beltran is leading the NL is home runs and RBI.  The Cardinals are trending UP.

8.       Toronto Blue Jays (19-16) are still in the thick of things in the AL East.  The last place team in this division is probably the 2nd best in the AL Central.  If the young Toronto pitchers can continue to fool hitters, they should push for the division lead soon.  The Blue Jays are trending NEUTRAL.

9.       New York Mets (19-15) still have a winning record somehow. David Wright seems to want one more big contract, and RA Dickey is racking up quality starts with that knuckleball.  The Mets are trending UP.

10.   New York Yankees (19-15) roster is falling apart by the week.  They lost their new star pitcher for the season, and then lost their old star closer possibly for his career. The Yanks will continue to score runs, but it doesn’t really matter if they cannot hold opponents under 6 runs.  The Yankees are trending DOWN.

11.   Miami Marlins (18-16) are the comeback kids so far this season, and Stanton seems to be heating up lately… good thing their stadium is still empty.  The Marlins are trending UP.

12.   Cleveland Indians (18-16) somehow are still above .500.  They seem to be doing just enough to win ball games.  They have played in more save-able games than any other team, which has resulted in Perez running away with the saves lead early in the season.  The Indians are trending DOWN.

13.   Detroit Tigers (17-17) have been the biggest disappointment this season.  The problem here is this record isn’t because of major injuries or bad luck, they are just playing poorly.  I still think they will turn it around, but I have moved away from following first pitch to final out.  The Tigers are trending NEUTRAL.

14.   Oakland Athletics (18-17) are bad, but still are above .500.  they are in the bottom third in every offensive category, but their pitching is saving them so far.  Luckily they have a reinforcement in Brandon Inge.  The A’s are trending NEUTRAL.

15.   Cincinnati Reds (17-16) have been their normal selves to start the year, disappointing.  They should push St. Louis for the division crown, but they will likely be sellers at the trade deadline. The Reds are trending NEUTRAL.

16.   San Francisco Giants (17-17) have been hit with the injury plague again, losing Kung Fu Panda and Brian Wilson this season.  Luckily their pitching staff and weak division should keep them in playoff contention throughout the season.  The Giants are trending DOWN.

17.   Chicago White Sox (16-19) are not nearly as bad as I thought they would be coming into the season.  Their young arms are talented and should be able to keep them competitive in the AL Central.  If they can find another bat to protect Konerko they could be a legitimate threat. The White Sox are trending NEUTRAL.

18.   Philadelphia Phillies (16-19) are still hanging around the .500 mark even without their best two hitters.  It is putting a lot of pressure on the pitching staff, and will likely wear them down quicker than usual.  If Utley and Howard can come back soon, the Phillies should be alright, but if not they will really need to look for some offensive help. The Phillies are trending DOWN.

19.   Houston Astros (15-19) get the benefit of the doubt here because there is nobody on their roster that is an everyday name.  yes they are really bad and will likely finish with close to 100 losses, but right now they are hanging tough in the NL Central.  The Astros are trending UP.

20.   Arizona Diamondbacks (15-20) are not reliving their special year of last, but have fallen back in their old habits. They are struggling to hit and pitch right now.  If Upton can turn things around, Zona should jump up in the rankings. The Diamonbacks are trending DOWN.

21.   Milwaukee Brewers (15-19) have been riding a roller coaster this season.  Their offense is reeling without Prince in the middle of the lineup, and the pitchers are struggling with the smaller offensive support.  Braun will have to carry them.  The Brewers are trending NEUTRAL.

22.   Los Angeles Angels (15-20) just got roughed up by their AL West rivals.  So far Texas doesn’t seem like they are too worried about the collection of talent in Cali.  Pujols is really trying to crown himself as the biggest bust ever, and the bullpen is still awful.  I am not sure why they didn’t keep Rodney.  The Angels are trending DOWN.

23.   Pittsburgh Pirates (16-18) are still just 4 games out of the lead in the NL Central division.  The Pirates need some offensive help, but I doubt they will trade for someone. Can the Bucs finish with 82 wins this season, I certainly hope so. The Pirates are trending NEUTRAL.

24.   Boston Red Sox (15-19) would be lower if they didn’t just pummel the Indians over the weekend.  One encouraging thing for the BoSox this season has been the emergence of their top 2 prospects.  This will likely be Youkilis’s last season in Boston.  The Red Sox are trending NEUTRAL.

25.   Kansas City Royals (13-20) are still a scary team even way down at number 25.  Their offense can get hot and put up 8 runs in a game, and their young arms can hold any offense down.  The problem is that Duffy is likely out for the season with a blown out left elbow, and if that is true the Royals will have company in the cellar with the Twins. The Royals are trending NEUTRAL.

26.   Seattle Mariners (16-20) are terrible, and if it wasn’t for the Tigers they would be in the bottom 2 on the league.  They are 5-1 against Detroit, and 11-19 against the rest of the league.  The Mariners are trending DOWN (because they are done playing the Tigers).

27.   Chicago Cubs (14-20) have no offense to speak of.  Theo Epstein has some work to do with this roster.  One thing is for sure though, if Epstein can turn things around, Wrigleyville will be a fun place to be.  The Cubs are trending NEUTRAL.

28.   Colorado Rockies (13-20) did not get much help from Jamie Moyer coming back from his retirement community.  The Rockies really have very little to be excited about right now and will likely be eliminated from playoff contention by July 4th.  The Rockies are trending DOWN.

29.   San Diego Padres (12-23) might be eliminated from the playoffs by the next Power Rankings.  Pure awful.  The Padres are trending NEUTRAL (the basement is as low as you can get).

30.   Minnesota Twins (10-24) have more talent that the Padres, so they might be able to get up to 28 or so by the end of the season.  The offense struggles and their pitching lacks any depth or talent.  Not a good combination.  The Twins are trending NEUTRAL.

Verlander & Schlereth of the Series (Athletics)

Well the Tigers didn't win another series, but they did salvage a split of the 4 game series.  The bats woke up for one game and then decided there was 6 more weeks of winter and continued their hibernation.  The consecutive quality starts streak ended on Friday night, but then a new one started with Fister and Verlander. 

The Verlander of the Series has some competition in this installment.  JV pitched a great game yesterday, and luckily for the fans the broken blister did not cause the Tigers to lose the game (and it limited his pitch count to 104).  Miguel also bounced back from his first Schlereth award with a big series at the plate, and he also made some nice defensive plays. He didn't hit a home run, but seemed to knock in all of the clutch RBI's.  I am going to go with Verlander this weekend.  He was back to his dominant self yesterday, and Oakland had 1 good at bat against him in the 7 innings.  His record is finally starting to reflect the quality of pitching he has done in the first 34 games. I expect JV's May dominance to continue this year, especially because the level of competition is pretty weak this month. 

The Schlereth of the Series has to go to Prince Fielder.  Maybe he will read this blog and turn it around like Miggy did after winning this infamous award.  Prince is in the longest slump of his career (0-22), the problem with this slump is that the Prince is having terrible at bats.  He is becoming as easy to strike out as Boesch.  His 2 strike approach over the weekend was awful.  To his credit, Oakland does have a very good pitching staff, but he needs to be the better hitter.  It doesn't get any easier against the White Sox, but then the Tigers welcome the Pirates to town.  I don't think we will see the first back to back Schlereth winner, let's hope not at least.

Friday, May 11, 2012

Tigers Week 5 Recap (15-15)

Detroit is continuing their run of mediocrity through the first 30 games of the season.  They have not won back to back games since the Kansas City Royals series in the middle of April.  That is almost a month long slump.  There isnt a lot to like right now with the Tigers, but I guess the optimistic way of looking at these guys is it cant get much worse right?

Well it could, but I doubt that.  The Tigers have had the best starting pitching in the month of May so far, and now have recorded 9 straight quality starts.  The problem is they are averaging less than 4 runs per game so far.

Most of the things that could go wrong with the Boys of Summer has gone wrong in the young season, so maybe they will catch fire and not look back soon.  The bullpen has struggled in almost every game, the hitting has been horrendous, and Raburn has fixed himself as the worst statistical 2nd basemen in the league (and it is not close). 

Looking at this team though, you have to realize that they are made to hit.  The lineup is just too good to not score runs over the course of the season.  They will get better, and it might even happen soon.  While Austin is having a career year, the rest of the lineup has been down.  Miguel will not bat .270 for the season, Prince will finish with more than 10 homeruns, Avila will bat higher than .220, and even Boesch cant go through a whole season as bad as he has been. 

Last week I looked through the May schedule and thought the Tigers could have close to a 20 win month.  So far this looks impossible, but they have some very winable series coming up.  I would be surprised if Detroit was not in first place by the end of May (and 5+ games over .500).

Verlander & Schlereth of Series (Mariners)

And the Tiger Kryptonite struck again this week.  Detroit made the trip to Seattle for a 3 game series, and found a way to lose 2 of 3.  Luckily for us, we do not have to play the Mariners again this year, and we finish with a 1-5 record against the worst team in the AL.  Let's jump into the awards...

Verlander of the Series: This one seems pretty easy for me, Doug Fister.  I could go with all of the starting pitchers in this series (Dougie, JV, and Smyly), but it was Fister's first start back with the Tigers. All he did was go 7 innings of shutout ball, and did so with only 73 pitches.  It is nice having him back in the rotation, and hopefully he can stay healthy for the rest of the season.  Detroit will go back to having one of the best 1-2 punches in the entire league.  The other 2 starters deserve some credit here as well, as they pushed the consecutive quality start streak to 8 in a row.  The sad part here is the team is 4-4 in those 8 games, pretty embarassing.

Schlereth of the Series: I hate to do this, but I am going to go with Miguel Cabrera.  I will blame it on the fact that it was a west coast series and I couldn't watch all of his at bats (and I bring good luck to Miggy Poco).  Miggy finished the series 0-13 with 3 GIDP.  Yes, a few of those AB's were hard hit balls, and he had some bad luck with the BAIP, but I mean 0-13 against the Mariners?  We didnt even have to face King Felix.  The entire lineup continued to struggle at the plate during this series, only scoring 9 runs (6 in one game).  But I am tired of giving the crappiness award to all 9 hitters.  The bats need to get going to relieve some pressure from the bullpen.  Yes, the pen struggled a lot at Safeco Field, but it is hard to win scoring 3 runs in 2 games.  The 1A option for Schlereth is of course the bullpen.  The stat that infuriates me the most is the starters threw a comined 19 innings and gave up 4 runs.  The bullpen pitched 8 innings and gave up 5 runs, really guys?  Detroit has now lost 5 games after leading 7 innings or later, last year they finished the season 77-0.  As mad as I am at the bums in the pen right now, I can't look past the lack of run support we have given them this season.  You cannot expect a bullpen to come in every night and try to pitch with no cushion for error, eventually it will come back to bite you.  And it had multiple times this season.  If the bats can start to score more runs (5+ per game), you can expect the bullpen to not look so bad.  Because even though they will likley give up a run or two still, Detroit is still winning the game.  Winning cures all.

Looking ahead, the Tigers get to play the fighting Inges in Oakland.  They lost their rookie slugger for a few weeks, so now Inge gets to hit in the top half of the order.  The A's are last in a lot of offensive categories, so Detroit needs to win this 4 game series.  I dont know how much longer the starting pitchers can continue their impressive streak, but Oakland is a good team to do that against.  I have a feeling Miguel will come out hot in the series, and hopefully it will spark some big offensive games before heading back to the Midwest.